Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 1.947932 2.229041 2.538049 2.903191 3.323244 3.791759 4.354577
2025-07-06 1.469030 1.834647 2.274184 2.842679 3.560325 4.438560 5.598629
2025-07-13 1.298660 1.722201 2.263723 3.009369 4.013568 5.324977 7.177217
2025-07-20 1.125798 1.566947 2.159746 3.018530 4.237716 5.916815 8.422701
2025-07-27 1.022647 1.484424 2.132375 3.113638 4.572585 6.678070 9.977006
2025-08-03 0.913925 1.376594 2.051048 3.113360 4.758973 7.234841 11.286688
2025-08-10 0.819584 1.276488 1.965962 3.091383 4.901177 7.729674 12.547112
2025-08-17 0.733548 1.177978 1.870188 3.037721 4.980985 8.126655 13.686044
2025-08-24 0.682554 1.128401 1.844033 3.089389 5.231517 8.817789 15.385091
2025-08-31 0.637719 1.083441 1.819405 3.138436 5.478930 9.524190 17.186250
2025-09-07 0.585939 1.021018 1.758555 3.117205 5.599017 10.018414 18.658499
2025-09-14 0.534797 0.954332 1.683320 3.061406 5.648648 10.387601 19.934895
2025-09-21 0.487603 0.894075 1.620610 3.035373 5.776376 10.962625 21.779519
2025-09-28 0.439528 0.827904 1.541825 2.973601 5.835912 11.430157 23.510170
2025-10-05 0.427500 0.827577 1.584289 3.148211 6.376572 12.899458 27.496554
2025-10-12 0.396870 0.787658 1.546275 3.157815 6.583611 13.719816 30.222853
2025-10-19 0.379263 0.771426 1.552505 3.257491 6.988997 15.001192 34.146588
2025-10-26 0.353153 0.734908 1.513647 3.257200 7.178395 15.840356 37.184731
2025-11-02 0.327558 0.696669 1.467007 3.234167 7.313608 16.574488 40.081151
2025-11-09 0.301633 0.654969 1.408589 3.177927 7.365599 17.123857 42.607623
2025-11-16 0.287211 0.636891 1.399343 3.232077 7.681407 18.329444 46.957479
2025-11-23 0.273700 0.619413 1.389509 3.283482 7.996636 19.573137 51.595238
2025-11-30 0.255983 0.590489 1.350745 3.261229 8.127634 20.377637 55.187237